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CBO Director Douglas Elmendorf
Among Republicans, it's taken as a given that President Obama's Recovery Act -- a.k.a., the "stimulus" -- was a failed Keynesian experiment. Among many voters, it's also widely assumed that the effort to get the economy back on track simply did not work.
Among those who know what they're talking about, however, there is no real doubt that the stimulus was a success. Douglas Elmendorf, the director of the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office, reminded Congress of this inconvenient truth yesterday.
Did the stimulus work? Certainly not according to Republicans, who regularly blast President Obama's "failed" economic policies on the campaign trail. GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney has called the $787 billion package of temporary tax cuts and spending hikes "the largest one-time careless expenditure of government money in American history."
But on Wednesday, under questioning from skeptical Republicans, the director of the nonpartisan (and widely respected) Congressional Budget Office was emphatic about the value of the 2009 stimulus. And, he said, the vast majority of economists agree.
In a survey conducted by the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, 80 percent of economic experts agreed that, because of the stimulus, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been otherwise.
The truth matters, not simply as a political exercise in which partisan players point fingers and thump their chests, but for entirely practical reasons.
For one thing, there's the question of credibility and accountability. In 2009, the American economy stood on the brink of a catastrophic collapse. Some proposed solutions that made sense (in this case, Democrats) and some proposed solutions that were ridiculous (congressional Republicans wanted a five-year spending freeze). Who got this right and who got it wrong helps us understand who we should listen to now and in the near future.
For another, on a substantive/policy-driven level, there's value in knowing what worked and what didn't when it came to making the economy stronger. It's common sense -- if, given certain economic conditions, a Keynesian fiscal stimulus worked, we should do more of it. If it made things worse, we should do less of it.
And I've got some charts that help separate fact from fiction.
Here, for example, is a chart showing the nation's GDP before and after the stimulus. Note, once the stimulus kicked in, the economy immediately started growing.

Here's a chart showing private-sector job growth before and after the stimulus. Note, once the stimulus kicked in, job growth immediately improved.

And here's a chart showing the Dow Jones Industrial Average before and after the stimulus. See that low point in March 2009? That's just before the stimulus kicked in.

Now, a Republican might look at this and argue, "Yeah, but the gains didn't last." That's true; they didn't. In the spring of 2010, the Eurozone debt crisis rattled international markets and through the global economy a curve ball. The U.S. gains quickly stalled, right around the time the stimulus funds started to wane. In 2011, unrest in the Middle East, coupled with a Japanese tsunami and Eurozone austerity, provided more global troubles.
But that's not an argument against the stimulus; it's an argument for more stimulus. The most accurate criticism of the Recovery Act comes from the left -- it was too small.
In a political/electoral context, Mitt Romney and congressional Republicans would have Americans believe President Obama's 2009 policies made the economy "worse." The challenge, then, is having Romney and his allies explain how, exactly, their argument lines up with reality.
The economy was failing, then the Recovery Act started spending, then conditions quickly improved. In GOP minds, how is that possible? Was it magic? Was it a coincidence? How do they explain why every relevant economic metric showed sharp improvements immediately after Obama's stimulus took effect?
That's not a rhetorical question; I genuinely want to know.
As a secondary question, if every relevant economic metric showed sharp improvements immediately after Obama's stimulus took effect, why in the world should we avoid taking similar steps right now?





http://blog.american.com/2012/05/cbo-obama-stimulus-may-have-cost-as-much-as-4-1-million-a-job/
The fact that we are here today to debate raising America’s debt limit is a sign of leadership failure. It is a sign that the U.S. Government can’t pay its own bills. It is a sign that we now depend on ongoing financial assistance from foreign countries to finance our Government’s reckless fiscal policies. … Increasing America’s debt weakens us domestically and internationally. Leadership means that “the buck stops here.” Instead, Washington is shifting the burden of bad choices today onto the backs of our children and grandchildren. America has a debt problem and a failure of leadership. Americans deserve better.
-From Sen. Obama’s Floor Speech, March 20, 2006
Well at least you can copy really well.
Very enlightening, but I prefer to get my economics from grad school textbooks and Rachel, who is a Rhodes Scholar.
As if we needed any more proof that the right wing is full of sh*t.
Key word is "WORKED" . sounds good every couple months lets just put 1 trillion dollars into the economy. Who cares about our kids, spending 1 trillion dollars 4 times per year is easier than actually passing a responsible budget. debt is 16 trillion and counting, 6 trillion from Obama. its embarrassing to rejoice about adding 1 trillion to r children's debt, and still Obama has a NET job loss.
Peoples' kids are going without now. I can't really take seriously that people brush aside today's issues for debt, especially when no loud uproar was heard until a Democrat was president. I can't take any of this seriously, it's all politics with the Republicans.
why was the tea party started under bush than? plus Obama added 6 trillion to debt in 3 years thats 3x the pace of bush. so yea thats why its a big deal now.
This information is so important but so complicated. Obama's campaign should work on ways to communicate this information to the electorate, and anticipate both well founded and fraudulent responses from MItt. Might you devote an entire show to these issues, and invite Republicans to reply on your show? If you do, don't cut them off like Sharpton and Matthews do. Let them hang themselves, or acknowledge the validity of what they're saying, if appropriate.
This article fails to mention the horrendous inflation that has only just started and devaluation of the dollar that printing the so-called stimulus has created.
The federal government did not do a bond auction or borrow the money for this stimulus. THEY JUST PRINTED IT.
@sandyc954 Wow... I appreciate you sharing your story. You have summed it up, and I wish people would take note. There are so many similar stories out there and I just don't understand why most people are putting their head in the sand and say that they do not care about the politics. Then, they are influenced by the lies that most of the media is spreading. People....quit listening to FOX and try the other side of the coin...THEN weigh the information and come to your own logical conclusion. The richest 1% is manipulating the information, and the poorest among the middle class are buying it...drinking the "kool-aid". Too many people are listening to the lies that this all started in 2008...I can assure you all that this started WAY before the current president took office. If I could pick a date that it all began to unravel, I'd have to say it was 2006. Time flies people...you may think it was only a few years ago, but it's been going on much longer than that. I know from personal experience as well.