With only nine weeks remaining in the presidential election, Republicans clearly hoped their national convention would give Mitt Romney a bounce that would leave him better positioned for November. So far, that's not even close to happening.
I put together this chart showing the last eight days of Gallup's daily tracking poll, including the results released this afternoon, and you'll notice a certain consistency to the results.
And I put together this chart showing the last seven days of Reuters' daily tracking poll (today's results are not yet available).
That's not a bounce; it's a hiccup. In Gallup's poll, Romney's in slightly worse shape than he was a week ago, and in Reuters' poll, he's in slightly better shape, but it's hard to characterize this as a meaningful post-convention bump in the polls.
Adding insult to injury, Gallup reports today that Romney's convention speech had the worst public response of any major-party acceptance speech since Bob Dole's 1996 remarks.
That said, there are few caveats to keep in mind.
First, in some instances, it takes more time to see a shift in the polls. The festivities wrapped up in Tampa four days ago, so it seems we'd probably start to see some kind of movement, but don't rule out the possibility of a delayed reaction.
Second, if the race's recent pattern holds, and voters are fairly locked in to their preferred candidate, President Obama may not see much of a post-convention bounce, either, suggesting the candidates will remain neck and neck for a while, probably until the debates.
For now, however, it's fair to say Republicans hoped to be in a much stronger position today than they are, and given the size of the "bounce," it looks like the 2012 Republican convention was a failure.