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Just discovering Conservapedia? Well, if you're there, look up Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Hey TRMS STAFF! (just posting this here in hopes you will see it).
You know who I'd REALLY like to see an INTERVIEW segment on? He's got a new book out, and he's bound to be making the rounds. Jump on this and book him!
Nate Silver, the god poll analysis. Great interview with him in an On The Media segment recently. Really, I've always thought he's the smartest guy in media, after Rachel.
Here's why I want to see this interview so badly:
We're down to the crazy time in presidential campaigns, the time when everything is a nominee for the latest "October Surprise." Where, regardless of the actual ODDS of things, the media itself has a vested interest in playing up the uncertainty, beating the damn horse race to death.
Yes, I know that gets ratings. Gets y'all ratings, which I don't necessarily think is a bad thing, cuz look, you've beaten Fox in the demo! I'm digging that.
But it's a cheap trick if it isn't the real story, the true story. Silver claims the deal was done for McCain by the time he suspended his campaign due to the near-collapse of the economy. But you'd have never known that from the media coverage, anywhere, at the time.
Thru most of the 2000s, way before he was at the NYTimes, I've trusted this guy to have the best numbers, the best analysis of ANYONE. He's Mr. Go-To, no matter how sleepy he looks on the air. I like him. I even like that he looks sleepy on the air. Nobody should be forced to have an eyelid lift if they are that smart.
And he's WAY smarter than those Freakonomics guys they got at NPR. Something about their claims to me often just doesn't smell right, and it's not because they're often counter-intuitive. I like counter-intuitive. It's more like, sometimes they're just a little too Malcolm Gladwell-ish, and you'd never catch Nate being Malcolm Gladwell-ish.
So hey! Break away from the endless horse race and reactions to every burp and gurgle on the campaign trail. I like how Krugman always brings a broader perspective, but Nate can do that too, in a different domain than economics. Don't just bring him in to talk horse race. Anyone can look at his site and see the numbers in the right hand column, day in and day out. That's not news.
Get him talking about his book. Find out what other insights are in there. Give us an antidote to the endless horse race minutia which may or may not have any impact on the actual outcome (sometimes Benen stays way too deep in those weeds, just by virtue of a laser-focus on his "beat"). Go watch SNL from last night, and tease out the deeper message from the Maddow parody (which was the kindest of the group, and nicely done, but there was still a message there, for those with the ears to hear it).
The hankie Romney had, was monogrammed with the New Mitt not the Old New Mitt Romney, Next time expect Another New Mitt.
I find it amusing that Welch and the other teapubs WANT the numbers to be bad. What a joke that party is. A scary joke, too.
Actually Welch wants the numbers to be real. If you count all the people employed in 2009 unemployment is really 11%. Wiping away human beings like they don't exist because they've given up looking for work, while crowing about how well Obama's policies are performing... is the employment equivalent of the holocaust.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/post/wonkbook-the-real-unemployment-rate-is-11-percent/2011/12/12/gIQAuctPpO_blog.html
So the unemployment rate feel 0.03% in one month, the most it's fallen in 29 years. All of this one month before the election. Wow, what a strange coincidence. Could someone please explain to me exactly why this happened? What economic boom has suddenly been unleash? What exactly was the Obama policy that created the most jobs, one month before an election, in nearly 30 years? I'm sorry to be cynical but considering that the far left blamed Bush/Cheney for 9/11 I don't think it's to much to ask for an explanation for what on the surface seems literally impossible.
The two numbers are derived differently. Job numners come from a survey of businesses. The rate comes from a survey of households. I agree the rate makes no sense, but one should neither gloat nor yell conspiracy.
But conspiracy theories are so much more fun than using logic or common sense.
Everyone knows these numbers are @!$%#. A fuzzy blend of numbers that rush it at the end of the quarter only to be "revised" a month later when more detail is applied. I'll wait to see the revised numbers.
"An Alabama State Senator running for Congress has written a speech arguing that slavery was justified by the Bible and that it was good for blacks."
Another excellent reason we have a wall of separation between Church and State.
I think it is easy to understand why Jack Welch is making such accusation about the job number. After all, he has been doing it for years when he was GE's CEO when he frequently manipulate and fudge the GE profits and earnings by using finance and investment part of GE business. When he can so easily manipulate his numbers to fool everyone; he just assumes everything else can also be easily manipulated elsewhere. Jack never have problem to do whatever is needed to get what he wants. Moral compass was never part of his equation to accomplish anything. Just look at his infidelity and adultery. Once again, he just assumes everyone would act like him.
GE under Welch had been constantly growing the finance and services portion of the business over everything else and practice the same kind of financial hooligans that created the bubble. That is the main reason why GE was in such hot water during the financial melt down back in 2008. If he had stayed at GE during that time, GE would have collapsed like Bear Stearns or Lehman Brothers. Jeff Immelt is still cleaning up the mess that he has left behind to this date. Fortunately GE was also help out by Warren Buffet during the crisis that ultimately saved the day.
Welch: ‘I have no evidence’ for jobs conspiracy theory, but ‘I don’t take it back’
Conspiracy theory's are damaging to the moral of the American people.
Winning this electon to the GOP is like the captaining the Titanic
Which is great if you happen to own one of the lifeboats
In first class you survive in second and third class you perish...
I know that the pundits have, in general, given the debate to Mr. Romney. However, is it fair that the winner used lies and deception to create an image that was not what he had been projecting before the debate. Pres. Obama may not have been agressive, but given Mr. Romney's responses during the debate and after, if the President had pressed him, he would have simplied denied everything. Unlike the archetypal George Washington, Mr. Romney's response to who cut down the cherry tree would be: "I can only tell a lie..."
Spring is a little ways off but, Irans' may come early. I like the sound of that...The Iranian Spring. Or Spring to life in Iran.I find Iran to be extremely interesting, I had to do a paper on Iran, and I still watch I dream of Jeannie. What they need in their Country is a Disneyland, they could create one in the Persian tradition.
"Don't like Reality, make up your own." :)
I sent a tweet to @jack_welch yesterday noting that if the Administration is fudging the #'s, they are REALLY bad at it, claiming only a paltry 114K jobs created.
Mitt's special hankie should have stayed in his pocket. Why does he throw in onto the podium as soon as he walks up to it?
The thing about liars is that they are not credible, not trustworthy. So it's not really of stretch of the imagination to accuse him of being a cheater too.
When we admit Mitt is a liar who changes his convictions by the hour, the only thing left is to ask why? And the scary part of the whole equation is that Mitt just wants to win this election and be president. But what would he do if he was elected? No one knows, he's like a box of chocolates...you don't know what you're getting.
The magic hanky linked to his magic underwear to increase the volume of lies considered acceptable by the church.
The intellegient briefs don't seem to help either.
Conservapedia: Ok I just don't get how things like this stay alive. I ran into it years ago but was sure it would be relegated to the great Internet dustbin to die a slow and ignominious electronic death It's completely utterly insane. There have to be rational and well informed conservatives and Republicans out there that realize that things like this make them and their party look like a bunch of illiterate hillbillies.Our form of Government was founded on the principal that a strong and well reasoned opposition is a necessity. Well informed and considered debate is the at the heart of our system of checks and balances, but things things like this render that whole process meaningless. You can't debate crazy people.
William F. Buckley is turning in his grave
Certainly. But those same Republicans rationally decided decades ago that in the purely self-interested desire to win elections that they would hitch themselves to the dank right-wing fringes of American politics and ride the crazy to power. The problem for the rational Republicans is that the nutters they used for draft animals decided that they wanted to drive the wagon instead and have taken over, and I'm not sure that those formerly in charge of the party have entirely caught on to what has happened.
It fulfills a need. In this case, it's the need of right-wingers to have all their beliefs validated. It's like Fox News and all other forms of right-wing media. They're not getting what they want from the mainstream, so they voluntarily seal themselves into an intellectual ghetto and rejoice in their new-found 'freedom'. They don't want debate, or even engagement. They just want to be right and to have their way in all things.
I think there are the true believers and also those that fuel the fire for the sole purpose of fame and fortune. I don't believe the Limbaugh's and Palin's actually believe their own spew, they're just oppotunists taking atvantage.
The Liberaterians like the billionaire Koch boys are oppotunists in a different way. Their agenda is purely business. What I find ironic is how they hitched themselves to the Republican, Christian right-wing. Strange bedfellows right?
The wonderful blog series on this site, "Mitt's Mendacity", has logged very roughly 700 lies/misrepresentations Romney has made since Jan 2012. And that's in the wake of a political career that seemed to have had a similar pattern. Taken alone, any one of those lies (misrepresentations) very arguably isn't likely to cost Romney the presidency. However, if Romney is allowed to continue to use them in the debates and his ads, without a better intervention by Obama and better pronounced arbitration for the truth by the mainstream media, we may kick around which lie won it for Romney on Nov 7th. But the collection of lies rather than a single one, blogged under "Mitt's Mendacity", do almost irrefutably reveal something not very flattering about Romney's character. He may well go down as the presidential candidate who lied his head off the most and got away with it - incredibly to me, the polls seem that close.
When I first saw the cheating note 'conspiracy' video, I wondered what the heck Romney was doing. I wondered whether Romney was doing something he shouldn't - like using cheat notes. Never did it enter my mind that if he did, that would explain why he won the debate. And having read a number of posts on it, I can't recall anyone who explicitly made that case - though maybe it was implied or something I overlooked.
There has been some discussion that the reason the 47% comment was so damaging was because it was the candidate himself affirming the narrative the Obama/Democrats campaigns had crafted with their ads and the candidate to some degree with his previous comments and actions.
Dishonest behavior breeds suspicion. So for the folks who saw that cheat note 'conspiracy' video and were not aware of a handkerchief, to some extent, I have to cut them some slack for their impression that they were witnessing a confirming event by the candidate himself. Romney earned a bunch of their suspicion with his previous dishonest behavior.
As for the debate itself, as the saying goes, "if you punish honesty in others, you encourage dishonesty." Between the two candidates before us during the debate, I think the guy who was substantially more on the mark with his facts got punished by the mainstream media (obviously not the fault of Rachel nor this site) and the moderator. And when you look at "Mitt's Mendacity", it's a little mind boggling to wonder how this candidate got as far as he has. In better years for journalism gone by and appearing long behind us, I sincerely doubt a journalist like Walter Cronkite, for example, would have tolerated it. I think Walter would have hammered Romney senseless by now. With the media's half hearted or inept attempts to fact check, dishonesty is being rewarded and therefore, encouraged while honesty is punished.
I don't think this shortfall by the media arbitrating for the truth is without precedent. Look no further than the Iraq war and what the international media was saying differently than the US media before that mistake was made. Maybe I'm old school and it's something that I find very, very troubling that I'm just going to have to live with. But I'll never accept it.
Re Neutron Jack Welch... ah yes, the Obama campaign is "those Chicago guys." 'Cause, ya know, all those Chicago politicians are crooked. Like remember Nancy Pelosi, with "San Francisco values?" 'Cause, ya know, they're all gay sodomites.
I've been trying to think of a red state city I can slander in a dog-whistle kind of way. I was thinking of Omaha, largest city in the state of Nebraska, which keeps trying to pass nutso abortion laws, but I have a really good friend from there. I can't come up with anything. I suppose it ultimately bothers me to paint all the inhabitants of a city with the same unfair stereotyped brush.
It sure doesn't bother some others, though.
Have at it, paint away. The majority in the red elect the nutso's. Someone has to be held accountable! If Missouri sends Akin to the Senate, St. Louis, Branson or Kansas City will have to take the blows/paint...lol
I could go with Branson. I see a red door...
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@ George M, you wrote: I suppose it ultimately bothers me to paint all the inhabitants of a city with the same unfair stereotyped brush.
You think it's unfair to paint an entire city?
Connie Red thinks nothing of painting an entire country.
I know two wrongs don't make a right, but Connie Red has washed out the High Road, it's time to get down in the mud with them.
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Next thing we know the Republicans will be calling their own polls "flawed" and making up their own poll numbers out of thin air and putting them on web sites and calling them True.
Oh, ... Wait ....
Never mind.
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Re-Frame Nat'l Debt Clock !!!!!
Break out into parts of debt due to Repubs, and that under Dems....
SHOW the larger one in RED (repubS spinning away larger AND faster as the BLUE ones for the Dems.....
FIGHT the notion that all $16-trillion is POTUS fault !!!
Excellent idea,,,, :>)
Actuarially, Mitt Romney would be 75% more likely to die in office than President Obama