The Obama campaign has invested quite a bit of energy in promoting early voting, so it probably gave Democrats heart palpitations on Monday when Gallup released a poll showing Mitt Romney with a big lead among those who've already cast ballots.
At first blush, with about 15% of the total numbers of votes already cast, these figures would suggest Romney is on his way to a significant victory next week. Indeed, Dave Weigel noted yesterday that the early-vote calculation "looks terrible" for President Obama's re-election prospects.
But there's another angle to consider: Gallup's numbers look at the national picture, and by all appearances, the election will come down to the key battleground states. Jon Walker had a good piece on this:
[I]n the important swing states Obama holds a big lead in the early vote. In Nevada and Iowa significantly more Democrats than Republican have voted already. Similarly, polling in Ohio shows Obama leads 63% to 36% among people who have voted.
I often think of the national polling like a "control group" in an election experiment. It is only in the swing states that the campaigns are really active. By comparing what happens in the swing states to what is happening in the non-swing states, you can try to separate broad trends from what is actually being accomplished by the physical campaigns.
The Obama campaign has been remarkably effective at getting its supporters to vote early, but only in the states in which they are heavily invested.
Team Obama appears to even be maintaining an early-voting blog on the subject, filled with optimism.
Obviously, a lot of this may be hype, spin, and p.r., but it's worth remembering that a Republican strategist in Florida told fellow GOP officials this week that Democrats are "cleaning our clock" when it comes to turning out early voters.
We'll get all the facts soon enough, but I don't think the Gallup report should make Republicans too happy or Democrats too despondent.
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The Romney campaign will just call it momentum....which if you stop and think about it is ridiculous considering you are talking about something that is by definition in the past tense
Let's hope that Obama supporters are seeing this news and realizing that their vote is important and they HAVE to get out there on Election Day.
Just came on the news: In early voting, Obama leading in FL, OHIO, and VA.
Don't believe the lies Romney is telling. All he does is lie, lie, lie.
I find it very TELLING that Gallup University is in Missouri a RED STATE and considers MEDIA polling for their own
Well as of 10 minutes ago they can count my vote. The funny thing is that where I live the only Democrats on the ballot are for state and national office, all the rest of the elections, three pages of them, are republicans running against republicans with varying degrees of sanity among them ranging from shrewish church prude to full blown paranoid wing-nut. I guess I shouldn't be to surprised considering that the towns favorite son is Wendel Willkie
Well lets see, early voting in Ohio with Husted in charge and Tagg's voting Machines. Bain owns the ones in Texas. Not worried, they will find the pile they tried to throw out lol.
Even if Romney does lead, I bet Obama won't stop advocating early voting.
None if this drivel matters anyway. The only thing that will count will be the total after election day. Go ahead and try to read the tea leaves but it is all a bunch of assuming which you all know what that means.
It will be nice in eight days or so when all of the windbags are all done bloviating.
Dragoon - I feel your pain. For all my local offices, my options are the Republican and, gee, no one else, just the one Republican.
But, my Arizona is inching towards eventual swing-state status. And I am proud to push it one vote closer.
I still believe, too, that many self-described Repub voters, especially those who have paid attention during this entire election cycle - and have hopefully paid attention over the last four years - will walk into that booth and not be able to pull levers or push buttons for candidates whose masters are other than the voters - those who have signed pledges to follow the dictates of persons or groups that will then be unofficially in charge of government. I am convinced voters want government of the people, by the people, for the people - not government of the people, by the NorquistKochRovian teapots, for the NorquistKochRovian teapots.
Well you believe wrong. An empty orangejuice can would be more attractive to vote for than our current ElPresidente.
A Jayne - I know a few who don't dare express it out loud for fear of alienation by friends/family/congregation, but like you say, can not bear to cast a vote in favor of rapists. They will instead be voting on behalf of the victims.
I know genuine conservatives who pay attention to the facts and will vote for the economic recovery and national security this president has offered, not for the the false rhetoric Faux news sells them.
Finally today I am starting to feel a little better. It's not the news or the polls, it's the behavior of the desperate Romney campaign combined with right wing talk radio sheer panic. If Romney wins, no candidate would ever bother telling the truth, why should they if you can win on pure lies.
I have had this same feeling... the future looks bleak
It horrifies me that in the information age, so many choose to remain ignorant of basic facts. Including the candidate himself.
You are one of the first people I've heard say this. I have been telling my wife & friends this since the general election started. I can't express enough how important this election is. If republicans win with this type of candidate & strategy it will only provide a blueprint for the next election and many more after. Sometimes I feel like I'm in the twilight zone because I can not believe the American voters are so easily duped. Even if Obama wins, if the election is as close as the polls say; we have serious problems in this country.
David E May, News flash on MSNBC In early voting, Obama ahead in FL, OH, and VA!!! It's a fact.
All Romney does is lie, but the facts are the facts.
Thank God.
I find this comment ironic. As most conservatives feel the same. "I can not believe the American voters are so easily duped." I am curious what exactly has Obama done these past four years to make him a second term president? Does not the lies of Benghazi just bother you slightly? Or the fact that America's financial status has been downgraded twice in his presidency? Maybe the national debt would be a clue? Or the failing of multiple "green" businesses that were directly funded by the government? Possibly the fact that he has consistently neglected meeting with Israels leader, Netanyahu? I would hope that neglect to identifying Iran as a critical threat to the world would be at least one factor that would make you stop and think of Obama's policies? No matter if your a "republican" or "democrat" you cannot deny that this administration has made multiple mistakes and has been anything but transparent. I am happy to see that we agree on one thing; "serious problems" do face this country and Obama is not one that can get us on the right track. Our Economy is the biggest national security risk if we don't cut spending, cut entitlement programs and identify the need to strengthen our military were all going to wake up some morning soon and say "what happened to America?"
I've been saying lately that the intellectual laziness of the electorate is far more dangerous to us as a nation that the intellectual dishonesty of the various candidates.
Hahaha. Wow. I guess I'd be wasting my time responding to you.
The lies or Iraq bother me more. The idea of war with Iran bothers me more. Benghazi is still fluid and no one, not even you on the right know what happened despite what Rush might tell you.
You may want to go look at the quotes from the very agency that downgraded the credit you are so concerned about. They placed the blame squarely on Republicans.
I could continue this for all your points but I've already lost interest in trying to point out that a vast majority of them, are nonsensical fever dreams of the right.
Cast your vote for whomever you like. I've already cast mine for President Obama.
The "Benghazi lies" shows where you get your news from. The downgrade in U.S. credit was solely the fault of Republican obstructionists in Congress - the rating agency even stated as much. Obama has identified Iran as a threat. The failure rate for the green businesses was 8% (Romney had a 22% failure rate at Bain). Meeting with Netanyahu is a non-issue; you do realize in this day and age that people don't need to physically meet in order to have a discussion? Israel has no problem with Obama, yet you infer there is one. Spending has been cut and our own military is not asking for an increased budget. Are you on Romney's campaign staff? Because your propensity to spew falsehoods is right in line with theirs.
There's another side to the budget (debt/deficit) equation besides spending, it's called revenue - after nearly 12 years of the Bush tax cuts that have had a large part in adding to the woes of the economy as well as the debt, can't you see that even more tax cuts isn't the way to go? I know everyone thinks they're "Taxed Enough Already" but if we've had historically low income taxes in times of recession and higher taxes during prosperity why does the right think that the answer is to reduce taxes further? They plan on starving the government to make even further cuts to social programs, which, believe it or not, benefit us all. More warships when we don't need them? Not so much.
See Chad - this is exactly why democrats and rethugniCons can't have nice things. The GOTP types won't even agree to the F-A-C-T-S:
1) What "lies about Benghazi" are we supposed to agree to? The Congressional funding for security that was cut by the GOTP Congress?
2) Our "financial" down-grades were predicated by an obstructionist Congress that refused to negotiate - or did you forget that detail? See further info here:
http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/2011/0806/S-P-downgrade-of-US-credit-rating-sends-clear-message-to-Congress-shape-up
3) Our "debt" was incurred under the Presidency of George W. Bush via: 2 unpaid for off the books wars, 2 sets tax cuts tilted toward the rich, and a prescription drug benefit - it was President Obama that actually put them on the books!
4) A few of those "green businesses" were initially funded under George W. Bush - remember him, so stop blaming the current President!
5) Netanyahu - seriously, we need to involve our children into another war of Empire for Israel? Puhlease!
6) Again where are those missing WMD's that were supposedly stockpiled in Iraq? Ok so we were taken once, must we be foolish enough to fall for that again?!
Yes, there are serious issues facing US, but if "tax cuts" were the answer they surely failed US from 2001-2012, so much for those "job creators" as the rich made out like bandits, working Americans wages fell, along with those 8 million jobs that hemorrhaged to low/no wage nations under Shrub.
As for "cutting entitlements" exactly which ones do you want cut, and for whom should they be cut? Should we cut Medicare/Medicaid/SS and at what age should we start saying it's over? Should we cut foodstamps and nutrition programs at school that help low income students to at least have a meal every day? Should we cut Pell Grants because school is just so yesterday? Exactly what should we cut?
Here are a few ideas:
1) Cut "subsidies" to BIG OIL/COAL/GAS!
2) Cut "subsidies" to Agriculture!
3) Cut out mortgage deductions on second, third and forth homes!
4) Stop corporate tax cuts! NO, US corporations don't pay 35% in taxes - THAT'S A LIE!
5) Stop taxing "Capital Gains" @14%, that's how most of these jokers make their money - so it is their wages and should be taxed accordingly!
Please feel free to add to the list, but can we at least agree to facts!
Chad-Aimee,
It was Congress' stonewalling and refusal to act that helped downgrade our credit rating.
The national debt has actually decreased under the Obama administration.
8% of the green energy businesses funded by the stimulus have failed. That's far below the national average of businesses failing. If you want to start comparing Obama's business investment record to Romney's, 22% of businesses that Romney invested in while at Bain failed.
Obama has a good relationship with Netanyahu and the relationship between the U.S. and Israel is solid. (You need to watch something besides Fox News.)
Under Obama's leadership, he has created solidarity with our allies in imposing crippling sanctions on Iran, which are having an effect.
The military is quite satisfied with the support it has received under the Obama administration. Furthermore, Obama has done more for veterans than was ever done under the Bush administration.
There you go. Thanks for playing.
And tomorrow, the trolls will get on here and repeat exactly the same things they've said today.
LOL! And people wonder why we have an Electoral College. If we had popular election of the President this year, we would get the result that the Founding Fathers expressly wanted to guard against: some snake-tongued sharpie that would lie his way to the office by duping the ignorant masses.
What?...Now don't you just sound like a Fox news repeat-o -matic!...If you really want to see who really is better at cutting spending, why don't you try looking it up for yourself? Or does Fox news alone have the real facts?... As to the questions of who is more fiscally responsible, or who is better at creating jobs, or who is better able to fix the economy?...It sure as Hell aint the republicans!...And these facts are readily available to all who are interested in the real , true, facts!...Just google it or bing it or yahoo it!...What ever floats it!...But I am so tired of the republican lies!...I have heard these same lies from the republicans since the days of Ronald Reagan!...His fellow republicans had convinced him, as well, of that B.S. about "Trickle Down Economics!" And at first, he went along with it...But later on in his second term, he had to raise taxes in order to address the growing deficit problems...So this outrageous claim of using tax cuts as a way to stimulate growth, has NEVER produced the intended results!...And it was not until "The Genius" of President Bill clinton(A Democrat) that finally some movement in deficit reduction actually took place! Pres. Clinton eventually wiped out the deficit and left his second term of the presidency with a surplus!...And then, ENTER: George W. Bush!...And We all know what happened next!...So I am so sick of you illiterate Fox news repeat-o-matics not knowing the facts, and just spittin' out your canned political views without knowing ANYTHING about the facts!..All that these super rich cats want is to be able to use this country as a giant pyramid scheme for the rich one percent!...And that is not acceptable!...Never!
Seriously, Chad, if everything you said were dead on and undeniable, I'd still vote for someone who is an honest failure over someone who is a incorrigible liar.
Early voting seems to be popular among seniors (65 and older) who are Romney's key demographic.
Get out the vote.
That's true.
And those seniors are also likely less media savvy than younger people who have been taught to be more skeptical of ads and other propaganda, I think.
Are these seniors insane? Don't they realize Romney is talking about giving them a voucher for medicare? Sometimes I hope Romney does win just so these stupid people can get a dose of what he's going to do. I'm tired of democrats fighting for seniors only to have them vote for republicans. If democrats let the republicans do what they want with medicare, health care & social security those old bastards will be begging for help.
Those seniors are also some of the most ingrained racists in the country. Just saying.
In would be nice for them to learn a lesson, but ultimately we'd all be paying the price for it.
Not true about seniors..Contrary to some beliefs, we can read and are not too poor to own a computer. Many of us follow the facts and don't jump on the panic wagon. I have been a supporter of President Obama and voted for him during his first election and have voted for him again this time..Early voting is the best. OBAMA/BIDEN 2012
I experience the racist element yesterday firsthand when talking to two seniors that in all other regards are intelligent, but they honestly think Obama is a Kenyan Muslim that hates white people and business and just wants to give all of their money away to the 47% who are scum. I was totally shocked.
This "Labeling" of seniors should stop! You would not get by with this if it was racist or any other group. We are all different in our views, economic situations, education background,etc. We probably are even more cynical than younger people at spotting liars and hypocrites. Most of us follow the facts and are one hell of a lot smarter than some of the people who made snide comments about us! Obama/Biden - 2012
Elinor, my apologies if my comment offended, but in my defense, I did write "some" in regard to seniors. The point being made by me, and others, I believe, is that if these seniors are in possession of their faculties, for them to support romney (this precludes you, by the way) there must be an underlying reason, which I have concluded is based on racism. I live in FL and have elderly neighbors and clients that show their support for romney when they clearly are not considering their best interests and/or are unaware that they are not who romney will be concerning himself with. To see romney/ryan signs while driving by a trailer park would be hilarious if it weren't actually disgusting.
Sorry, but, as a senior, I am NOT Romney's demographic! And, a ton of my contemporaries from many states are also voting early for Barack. Silly of you all to box up seniors so neatly. After all....we seniors were key to those radical 60's and we spotted lies, racism then....as we do now. Just vote and work on this election people!!
Yes, I'm also a senior, and I'm also not a Romney demographic, nor are any of my friends who for the most part are also seniors. Never forget that we were part of the 60's generation who believed in something other than money and taking advantage of people. Alot of us sold out, but more and more are coming back to their roots, if you will. We liked to think about and examine things...it's why we were such a force at changing things. I am furious with what is going on now, and I will NEVER for the life of me understand how ANY woman would even consider voting for the Romney/Ryan ticket. I gotta tell you, I'm also not marching for women's rights anymore either...my knees are too arthritic! It'll be up to the next generation to actually go out and change it all over again. THINK folks! You're lives truly do depend on it.
what Gallop and other pollsters should do in light of early voting in ask the "likely voter screening questions first, then ask the have you voted question. THis would give them great feedback on the validity of thier likely voter models......
Where are the equivilant register voter totals so we can decide if thier likely voter screen seems right....
I don't get worked up over any info that isn't broken out by state.
somewhere -- perhaps Maddow?-- i heard that polling is ignoring cell-phone only people. they cannot be polled. so there is a huge demographic not polled. Blacks tend to have only cell-phones, as do college students, those who may well vote for Obama.
Let me debunk that right here. I was polled on my cell phone; it's the only phone I have.
That's not debunking, that's anecdata. The fact of the matter is the vast majority of polling is landline only.
I've been polled once in my life; this election. And on local primaries only, not the presidential race. And it was on my cell phone.
Freddie has a point though. I think most polling is still done on landlines. I'm sure I only got polled because I signed up with a local democratic group or something.
if you're getting polled on your cell phone you signed up for something at some point to account for that. It's against federal law to call someone on their cell phone and telemarket them unless that person consented to doing so.
Maybe a website you belonged to sold your info? Just saying that's a little disturbing to me cause they aren't supposed to be able to do that. I'd look into it if I were you, but that's my own personal thing about not liking people having my information unless I know who it is and what they're going to use it for.
I'm positive that you're correct Marytattoo. I live in Florida and have been contacted by at least 5 different polls, 1 of which I actually gave responses to, and they were all on our land-line. Americans concern themselves with poll results far too much. Fortunately, I live in a county where the number of registered Democrats is nearly double that of registered Republicans. Those numbers are more important to me than polls even though it doesn't necessarily determine whom each voter will cast their vote for.
Political polling calls are completely legal under Federal law. More generally, political polling is exempt from the Federal "Do Not Call" law. Like it - don't like it - I don't care, but it is legal.
"Rasmussen’s polls have come under heavy criticism throughout this election cycle, including from FiveThirtyEight. We have critiqued the firm for its cavalier attitude toward polling convention. Rasmussen, for instance, generally conducts all of its interviews during a single, 4-hour window; speaks with the first person it reaches on the phone rather than using a random selection process; does not call cellphones; does not call back respondents whom it misses initially; and uses a computer script rather than live interviewers to conduct its surveys. These are cost-saving measures which contribute to very low response rates and may lead to biased samples.
"Rasmussen also weights their surveys based on preordained assumptions about the party identification of voters in each state, a relatively unusual practice that many polling firms consider dubious since party identification (unlike characteristics like age and gender) is often quite fluid.
"Rasmussen’s polls — after a poor debut in 2000 in which they picked the wrong winner in 7 key states in that year’s Presidential race — nevertheless had performed quite strongly in in 2004 and 2006. And they were about average in 2008. But their polls were poor this year.
"The discrepancies between Rasmussen Reports polls and those issued by other companies were apparent from virtually the first day that Barack Obama took office. Rasmussen showed Barack Obama’s disapproval rating at 36 percent, for instance, just a week after his inauguration, at a point when no other pollster had that figure higher than 20 percent."
Source: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/
My understanding, based in part on Nate Silver, is that it's not permissible to place automated robo-polls to cellphones, but live interviewer polls are OK. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/19/obamas-lead-looks-stronger-in-polls-that-include-cellphones/ Silver, in September, seemed to assume that cell-phone usage is more prevalent among younger voters, who are also presumed to be more likely pro-Obama.
Personally, I've been taking all poll numbers with a grain of salt, given how many people I know who only have cellphones. There is also the question of which set of voters will be most motivated to get out and vote, given that both sides seem to believe the End of America As We Know It is nigh if the other side wins. Factor in the poll issues and the superior Obama ground game, and we (the Obama/Dem side) may be better off than we seem to be right now. But then factor in Republican deceit re voting registration, voting information, voter ID and possible machine rigging, and it's not so comfortable. Sigh.
Vote, people -- even in states where the Presidential vote is solid, there are Senate and Congress races that are also very important.
So, bottom line, yes, it's possible to be polled on your cell. But far more likely to be polled via landline automated calls.
ahhh that might be it then
A Jayne: I hope you are right. Most of my friends who are Republicans are dead set against Obama and are voting for Romney with blinders on. Never mind who has their best interest at heart, they are heading to the polls intent on voting for the white guy.
This Gallup Poll did not include all candidates on the ballot, most importantly Gary Johnson. Neither of the above listed Warmongers have my vote. I have a feeling Dems and Repubs will be getting votes from the dead or non existent.
So in other words, you're voting for Romney, the way the Nader idiots were voting for G.W. Bush. If you're not in a battleground state, vote however the hell you want, but if you are in a battleground state, you are voting for Romney.
I say go ahead and vote for peace! But you should have at least a smidgeon of evidense about voter fraud if you feel the need to spout out about it. Otherwise you sound like you are reserving the right to cry foul about the result, even though you admit you are supporting a guy who might win three percent.
National opinion polls at this stage of the race are as misleading as they are useless. Obama leads everywhere he needs to win (WI, IA, NV, CO, OH, NH and VA). Romney leads, only slightly in FL and NC. The President could lose in VA and FL - plus 3-4 of the swing state he now leads in, and still win handily.
This race is over. The only questions remaining are: 1) will Obama win in a landslide and 2) will the Obama coattails carry the House.
Shame on the national media for keeping the Romney campaign on life support.
Why are we going by national polling when states matter? Also, don't we know the party affiliation of those who have early voted? I have seen it in the news before. Polls are great, but you need to put them in context and ACTUAL voting is better. Go with the actual early voting results.
Ron Byers - I'm 75 years old, I voted early, and I voted for Obama.
Good for you. My mother in law is 92 and she is voting early for McCaskill. I don't know if she is voting for Obama because I respect her privacy. By the way, I am 64 and I am voting for Obama.
I just mailed in my Dad's ballot today. He's 95 and proudly voted for Obama. That's the only vote he wanted to make this time around.
My parents are 75, 76 a Marine Vet and voted in TEXAS for Obama! They read the issues and are not racists.
In Texas too KOBOL. We come from good stock!
i am 66 yrs old,,my sister 77 yrs old,, white and we both voted for mr obama,,he is the best,, our brain is still very good,,and we can spot a lie,,and romney is the worst so far as lie goes
My 30 yr. old daughter, living in London for 3 yrs., cast her absentee ballot for President Obama. I voted early today for my President Obama. At a party this evening, over 1/2 of the people I talked with are voting for President Obama. We MUST encourage early voting and helping people get to the polls. Volunteer at your local Democratic headquarters on election day. Or, help supervise the polling places to prevent voter intimidation.
My vote for Obama is going in the mail today, as fast as I can limp my goddammit-when-will-there-be-affordable-health-insurance-so-I-can-get-that-second-surgery-before-the-damage-is-permanent knee over there.
(Rural, no mail delivery in this town, nearest place to mail a letter is post office a mile away, and my full-time *federal* job offers me no insurance and just enough money to maybe save for a car in 2-3 years)
I am trying not to believe that American voters are naive enough to vote for Romney/Ryan. BTW I voted early and yes, I am a "senior." Please get out and vote, even if it is a hardship with the ramifications of Sandy ; our country depends upon YOU!
You betcha!!
Senior, Female, voted Early, Dropped off ballots for others, voted OBAMA/BIDEN!!
Both sides try to play this game where the week before each says they are losing the election. It's a means of motivating the masses to go vote, rather than assume their preferred candidate would win without their vote.
Remember that is what happen during Bush v. Gore when the networks started calling Gore the winner before all the results were in. If you were a voter that day intending to vote for Gore, why would you bother if news anchors are telling you he already won?
Who or whom is gathering the poll number? Are they only taking polling numbers from Republican voting areas and throwing out democrats votes to make Romney look good? You know how Republicans like to cheat. So I cannot trust such polls. Sorry.
The early vote in Wisconsin is not counted until election day so for them to make an assumption is cazy !
They do a poll as the voters leave the polls.
Yea they do polls as the voters leave polls. I remember 2004 the exit polls had Kerri winning. I am not going to listen to the polls. I will November 7th to know if Obama will be president and my kids will be able to keep health insurance or if Romney will be president and my kids will have to go with out health insurance.
A lot has been made of the Gallup numbers has there been any mention of the fact they seem to think the unemployment # will come out at 7.1% come Friday? I'd imagine the release of that might result in a change in some of their other #s:)
You can be sure the national media is going to milk every last dollar from both campaigns - this is the only time to make up the numbers in 4Q 2012.
I voted early for Dr. Jill Stein. She has more heart than Romney, more balls than Obama.
Breaking news, Obama ahead in early voting in FL, VA, and OHIO!!
It's true.
As Charles Pierce put it:
However, I am casting my vote for [Obama] (again) because of something that Dr. Jill Stein said the other night on TV, when she was being interviewed in the wake of that third-party candidates debate that Larry King hosted. I've known Jill socially for some time, and I admire her, and I agree with her on a marginally greater percentage of the issues than I do with the president. I think a lot of the snark aimed her way is unjustified. She's not responsible for the wankerific fantasies of renegade "progressives." I do not, however, think she is any more likely to become president — or any more qualified to be president — than I am. For example, I take a back seat to nobody in my scorn for the president's apparent naïvete concerning the virulent nature of his political opposition. But, listening to Stein talk about the glories of the "Green New Deal" she's going to pass through a Congress that is unlikely to differ much one way or the other from the one we have now, well, that makes Barack Obama sound like Huey Long.
all i want 2 know is what is ohio looking like
gatson: Obama ahead in Ohio, FL, and VA!
It would be nice to know if the Attorney General ever looked into the Tagg Romney voter machine connection...even to debunk it.
I don't take Gallup serious at all. Not even a little bit. They have lost all credibility with me. And that goes both ways. I really which the media would stop giving them free press. It does not matter if they say Obama or Romney is ahead, I still don't believe them. It all comes down to the swing states. It is looking like Obama is going to take Ohio and he is leading in most of the other swing states. Not to mention that Obama and Romney are now tied in North Carolina, I did not see that one coming. And finally as mentioned before, Obama is doing very well with early voters in Swing States. This is not a worthy news story at all.
It's a Gallup Pole, I don't think anything else needs to be said! Get Real.. It's media hype and people are buying into it all. I watch one Pollster, Nate Silver, BTW, he throws Gallup Pole out.. Like the trash.. Don't pay attention, VOTE, the news media wants to make it seem closer for ratings and Frankly so people will get out and VOTE! Look at the Swing states, the've barely budged in weeks.. Plus, MSNBC had someone on yesterday, saying that Latino Voters are not equally polled due to sometimes having a language barrier. Not to mention each pole is swayed a little one way or the other. Watch the Swing State Poles and Nate Silver and you know who the Winner of the Race will be.
Gallop has been so far away from other polls all year that I don't beleive them anyway.
Rachel... Why won't the Main Stream Media use their credentials in Journalism of FREEDOM of THE PRESS to report on so many Blacked-Out Stories that I often read online? Such as these Search Terms "Iceland forces debt forgiveness", "CNBC pulls Report on Money Laundering and Racketeering", "LENR Low Energy Nuclear Reaction studies at NASA", "Cold Fusion set for Market Release", "James Holmes in Mind Control Program", "Vatican Butler Whistle-Blower Pope Papers"... ???