Today's installment of campaign-related news items that won't necessarily generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers:
* The final NBC/WSJ poll at the national level shows President Obama leading Mitt Romney by one point, 48% to 47%. Eight years ago, the same poll showed George W. Bush leading John Kerry by the exact same margin, 48% to 47%.
* MoveOn.org Political Action has released the first Sandy-related ad I've seen, hitting Romney for his stated opposition to FEMA, and praising Obama's leadership during the response to the storm.
* In Ohio, NBC/WSJ/Marist shows Obama ahead by six, 51% to 45%; CNN shows Obama up by three, 50% to 47%; and a Columbus Dispatch poll shows Obama up by two, 50% to 48%.
* In Florida, the NBC/WSJ/Marist poll shows Obama ahead by two, 49% to 47%; but a Mason-Dixon poll shows Romney up by six, 51% to 45%.
* In Iowa, the final Des Moines Register poll, widely regarded as the most reliable of the state's polls, shows the president with a five-point lead, 47% to 42%.
* In Pennsylvania, Public Policy Polling shows Obama up by six, 52% to 46%, but a Muhlenberg College poll puts his lead at just three points, 49% to 46%.
* In Wisconsin, PPP shows the president leading by three, 51% to 48%.
* In Colorado, PPP shows Obama leading by four, 50% to 46%, while a SurveyUSA poll shows Obama up by just two, 47% to 45%.
* And in Michigan, PPP shows Obama up by six, 52% to 46%.
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"A Mason-Dixon poll shows Romney up in Florida by six, 51% to 45%."
What's up with that? Makes no sense to me.
Mason-Dixon always skews right. They were lambasted pretty badly in 2010 for what they predicted in Nevada. Apparently, they haven't learned anything from that fiasco.
the name says it all
Cant the south get it straight they lost the war, do really think that a carpet bagger from mass oh michigan oh i mean mass whatever, whats killing them is deciding between two reminders of their past a black man from the north or a white morman whose people were force to flee the the south
I LOVE the MoveOn ad.
Not just the content, but especially the use of one of my all time favorite songs: Moby's "God Moving over the Face of the Waters". Also used beautifully in the final scene in Heat (1995).
Tuesday night cannot get here soon enough!
So glad to see MoveOn.org, move on this, because I think all of us should be focusing a lot more on this before Tuesday. It demonstrates why we need government and what private industry can’t do. It demonstrates why we need leaders who believe in government to run government, because what company would hire a CEO to run a business they don't believe in. It demonstrates that despite Mitt Romney's recent claim that he will fund FEMA, his entire campaign has been all about the belief that in every instance government would be better run by the private sector and this included FEMA up until a few days ago. It demonstrates that either Mitt Romney believes what he's been fighting for forever and will say whatever he needs to get elected, or he's had a change of heart since the debates and now he believes what the Democrats have been fighting for forever. If he still believes it and he is lying about it, then Sandy proves his belief in privatizing FEMA is wrong. If he no longer believes it, then all of his previous judgments were wrong and we should vote for the guy whose judgment has been right all along. It demonstrates science matters, for the environment we all depend on and all of the costs that come from ignoring it that far outweigh the costs of doing all we can to prevent it.
How Romney is even close in any of these polls is just stupefying
That's because 48% of Americans are stupefying.
throw out the polls and just watch football...
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/election-2012/wp/2012/11/04/todays-redskins-game-could-decide-the-election/
All I say is if Romney is so concerned about Jeep sending jobs to China and he is going to stop jobs going to China here is the first step STOP THE SENSATA JOBS GOING TO CHINA AND THEN PEOPLE might and the magic word is MIGHT believe he is a genuine person thinking of others besides himself. I only see a me, me and me person and so far I have not seen anything else to prove otherwise but the best part is the Navy Seal and Jeep situation which tells me loud and clear it is all about him.
You cannot help the poor by destroying the rich. You cannot strengthen the weak by weakening the strong. You cannot bring about prosperity by discouraging thrift. You cannot lift the wage earner up by pulling the wage payer down. You cannot further the brotherhood of man by inciting class hatred. You cannot build character and courage by taking away people's initiative and independence. You cannot help people permanently by doing for them, what they could and should do for themselves.... Abraham Lincoln
Sigh, metoo.
You HAVE GOT to grow a few more brain cells. That one you have is so overworked it is causing you to make SERIOUS ERRORS.
I don't know where you "cut and pasted" the above from, but it WAS NOT Abraham Lincoln that said that - it was William Boetcker - a conservative motivational speaker. It's called The Ten Cannots.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_J._H._Boetcker
If you knew ANYTHING about Abraham Lincoln or read ANYTHING written by him, you would have known this was a forgery!
good video here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a0ccPh3YYH4
That was a good one; thanks! MoveOn has put out some very good ads in this election cycle. I only hope they're as effective as they ought to be...
Get Enraged and Engaged:
Mooch the Vote 2012!
;-)
Anyone else having new trouble moving around this site? I keep getting message nothing new has been posted. I got on thru the archive connection.
If I understand the process correctly, when a poll is taken of 1000 people not all those 1000 responses may be used. The respondents are divided into sub-groups such as age, sex, and ethnicity (among others). Those sub-groups are then matched up to sub-groups from previous elections.
The problem with a poll not seeming to match what other polls say could very well be because of the match-up. If the match-ups are solely Presidential elections, and assuming the poll-taker doesn't change its' methodology, then there shouldn't be much disparity between polls produced by that polling organization, even though its' polls don't match up with other pollers.
Personally, I wonder how many poll/ers, particularly those that are so heavy in Romney's favor, are using 2010 as a template? Any polling organization that uses only the last three national elections would, I think, produce a poll that is very likely skewed due to the inclusion of 2010. I'm not even certain if including the 2006 national elections would balance it out.