
After some wild swings in January on initial unemployment claims, the new report from the Department of Labor shows things leveling off a bit.
New applications for unemployment benefits fell by 5,000 to a seasonally adjusted 366,000 in the week ended Feb. 2, but the small decline indicates there's been little change in a modestly improving U.S. labor market. Initial claims from two weeks ago were revised up to 371,00 from an original reading of 368,000, the Labor Department said Thursday, based on more complete data collected at the state level. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch expected claims to drop to 360,000. The average of new claims over the past month, meanwhile, edged down by 2,250 to 350,500, marking a nearly five-year low.
To reiterate the point I make every Thursday morning, it's worth remembering that week-to-week results can vary widely, and it's best not to read too much significance into any one report.
In terms of metrics, when jobless claims fall below the 400,000 threshold, it's considered evidence of an improving jobs landscape, and when the number drops below 370,000, it suggests jobs are being created rather quickly. We've been below the 370,000 threshold seven of the last nine weeks.
Above you'll find the chart showing weekly, initial unemployment claims going back to the beginning of 2007. (Remember, unlike the monthly jobs chart, a lower number is good news.) For context, I've added an arrow to show the point at which President Obama's Recovery Act began spending money.





7.7% unemployment rate Jan 2009.
7.9% unemployment rate Jan 2013.
If we lean forward any more just might get the unemployment rate up and over 8%..
Have to raise the tax rates & spend more money to help this along.
And somehow I get the feeling that would make you just as hyper and giddy as a kid in a candy factory...
But evidently you haven't been paying attention...Government spending helps the economy...Remember all that crap Ike and Regan bought...you know highways and Aircraft carriers...
That doesn't help the economy, it helps a shipyard and paving companies. What are the other 300 million people supposed to do? What's obvious is buying into the delusion Daddy Obama (courtesy Chris Rock) can buy our way out of stagnation. With money printed/borrowed/taxed from the very people he's trying to invigorate.
Government spending helps the economy
Thats what Greece and Spain and Italy all say...
@ho-lee-cow
Greece and Spain use the Euro, which makes them comparable to Ohio or Vermont, not to the US.
We the current trends hold, we should be under 5% unemployment by Election Day in 2014.
Jobless versus underemployed/underpaid? Unemployed versus working off the books? Metrics versus SAE?(sorry 'bout that)
I'll be one of your data points two weeks from today. I'll let you know how it goes.